Tuesday, May 28, 2024

Clear bourgeois majority in yet another opinion poll

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Erna Solberg (H) and Sylvi Listhaug (Frp) can prepare for a majority in the Storting next year, if the polls this year are correct. Photo: Emilie Holtet / NTB

Of NTB | 11.05.2024 00:03:59

Policy: According to Klassekampen and Nationen’s May poll, the Conservative Party, FRP, Liberal Party and KrF have a clear majority in the Storting, despite the fact that the Christian People’s Party ends up below the threshold of 4 percent.

Høyre, Frp and Venstre all advance from the survey in April. The Labor Party and the Center Party are going backwards, while SV is moving forward a little.

In total, the four parties on the bourgeois side would have received 93 mandates in the Storting if this were the election result. Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre (Ap) and the red-green party (Ap, Sp, SV and Rødt) would only have managed 74 mandates.

– The overall picture is that there is a stable, bourgeois majority that strengthens over time, says election researcher Johannes Bergh at the Institute for Social Research to Klassekampen.

Bergh points out that the FRP in particular has experienced growth over a longer period. The FRP is now only 2 percentage points behind the Labor Party.

– There is some movement among voters on the right. A part of the voters who now say they will vote FRP probably voted Conservative at the last election, says Bergh.

Results for all parties (change from April in brackets):

Red 4.9 (-0.1), SV 10.5 (+1.1), Ap 17.8 (-2.7), Sp 6.6 (-2), MDG 3.3 (-0, 3), KrF 3.4 (-0.5), Left 6.6 (+1.3), Conservative 26.5 (+1.9), Frp 15.4 (+0.5) and INP 1.4 percent (+0.3).

The survey was carried out by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen. 1001 people were interviewed on 6 and 7 May. The margin of error is between 1.1 and 2.7 percentage points and is greatest for the parties with the highest support.

(© NTB)

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