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Monday, August 8, 2022

Lula’s difficulties in “clearing the area” to take the first round – 01/08/2022

From Ciro Gomes (PDT), the PT gave up a long time ago.

In recent weeks, however, the acronym has worked hard to pulverize, or bring together, other less voted presidential candidates.

He tried to close an alliance with Luciano Bivar (União Brasil), worked to “melt” the convention that made the candidacy of Simone Tebet (MDB) official and put Lula on the phone with André Janones (Avante).

The PT strives to “cleanse” the opponent’s field because any point it manages to take from there – it comes from the president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) or any run-of-the-mill candidate—can make the difference between the PT election on October 2nd or the tense expectation of the result in the second round.

So far, however, only the PT onslaught with Janones (1% in the last Datasheet) promises to make progress.

In an interview with UOL News today, Avante’s federal deputy said he could withdraw his candidacy if Lula accepted his proposals.

Bivar announced his departure from the presidential race yesterday, but not the withdrawal of having a candidate of his acronym in it, as the PT wanted.

And Tebet, despite PT’s efforts to the contrary, had his candidacy confirmed by the MDB four days ago. With the withdrawal of the toucan senator Tasso Jereissati from being his candidate for vice, the vacancy must now go to the senator and also toucan Mara Gabrilli.

Since its name was launched, seven months ago, Tebet has not taken off (2% in the last Datafolha). Although the arrival of Mara Gabrilli on his slate is unlikely to change that picture, Lula and the PT have reasons to frown.

Elected by São Paulo in 2018 with more than 6 million votes, Gabrilli, a paraplegic since the age of 26 due to a car accident, is one of the most active advocates of accessibility, an issue that, in addition to the rhetoric of diversity, is of fundamental importance in the lives of the 12.5 million Brazilians who have difficulty seeing, hearing, walking or climbing stairs.

With the beginning of electoral propaganda on TV, the inclusion of this agenda in the campaign may have some impact on Tebet’s numbers. Nothing that will get her to the second round, but enough, perhaps, to disrupt Lula’s plans, whose possibility of victory in the first round is hanging in the polls’ margin of error — and haunted by the historical data according to which the PT , not even in its glory days, managed to elect a president in the first round.

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